Mum Makes 400% on Share Market

Scott,

You’ve made it no secret you are not a fan of AfterPay. I, however, am a massive fan. It has helped me to budget bigger (and smaller) purchases, Christmas presents and (now) essentials for our first baby. I love AfterPay so much that, when the coronavirus hit the share market earlier this year, my partner and I decided to enter the share market — and AfterPay shares were the first thing we bought. Those shares have increased by around 400% over the last six months, in comparison to a 20%‒60% increase for the other shares we purchased. I’m surprised, I’m elated, but I’m confused. Why have they increased so greatly? When will it stop?

Anna


Hi Anna,

Hee-haw, now that is an epic story.

Good on you!

Now let me zoom out and give you some perspective:

Over the last 50 years, the Aussie share market has returned an average of 9.5% per annum, including dividends.

In other words, rookie, you’ve made out like a bandit!

Now to your questions:

The sharemarket has rebounded so strongly for a few reasons:

First, because interest rates are as low as they have ever been in history, and that has forced many investors to take on more risk (most can’t pay for their sausages on the interest they earn from cash or fixed interest).

Second, because we’ve seen an unprecedented amount of financial support: trillions of dollars have been printed to help prop up ailing businesses and consumers.

Third, and most importantly, because shares were panic-sold on the way down … and then hot stocks like Afterpay ricocheted right back up. And it went up like a slingshot … or maybe a shotgun. AfterPay is up a staggering 1,000% since March, despite the fact that it’s never turned a profit.

What happens from here?

I honestly have no idea ... and that’s kind of the point.

When you’re investing in the stock market, you’re giving up control of the outcome, at least for the short term.

All I can do is point you to the 50-year return of 9.5% per year and tell you I’d be very happy if I achieved that over the next 50.

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